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<blockquote data-quote="Zable" data-source="post: 133069" data-attributes="member: 47">For now, I’m ignoring all the stuff that’s at that news link to try and start from the top.What do we know?That we have a child who vanished, seemingly disappeared off the face of the earth without a trace, 11 years and 4 months ago just days shy of her 4th birthday.The child disappeared because….<ul style="margin-left: 20px">
<li data-xf-list-type="ul">She left home of her own accord</li>
<li data-xf-list-type="ul">She was abducted (alive) at the outset</li>
<li data-xf-list-type="ul">She was murdered at the outset – whatever her whereabouts might have been at that moment, in a non-abduction scenario – by someone, possibly in the presence of others; and her body is unfound at the spot she died, or else been hidden by one or more persons.</li>
<li data-xf-list-type="ul">She died an accidental death (wherever she might have been in a non-abduction scenario) either when alone or in the presence of one or more persons – and her body is unfound at the spot she died, or else been hidden by one or more persons.</li>
</ul>From these 4 foundational scenarios come those theories on Sarah’s list.To know which theory is more likely, rather than going through one by one on the list, I feel it&#039;s easier if we look at the foundational scenarios first to see what can be eliminated or made less of a priority by assessing what evidence (circumstantial or better) there is to support each of the foundational scenarios.Maybe, better still, we should look at what evidence (circumstantial or better) there is that does not support/would disprove any of these foundational scenarios.Anyone disagree?</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Zable, post: 133069, member: 47"] For now, I’m ignoring all the stuff that’s at that news link to try and start from the top. What do we know? That we have a child who vanished, seemingly disappeared off the face of the earth without a trace, 11 years and 4 months ago just days shy of her 4th birthday. The child disappeared because…. [INDENT][LIST] [*]She left home of her own accord [*]She was abducted (alive) at the outset [*]She was murdered at the outset – whatever her whereabouts might have been at that moment, in a non-abduction scenario – by someone, possibly in the presence of others; and her body is unfound at the spot she died, or else been hidden by one or more persons. [*]She died an accidental death (wherever she might have been in a non-abduction scenario) either when alone or in the presence of one or more persons – and her body is unfound at the spot she died, or else been hidden by one or more persons. [/LIST][/INDENT] From these 4 foundational scenarios come those theories on Sarah’s list. To know which theory is more likely, rather than going through one by one on the list, I feel it's easier if we look at the foundational scenarios first to see what can be eliminated or made less of a priority by assessing what evidence (circumstantial or better) there is to support each of the foundational scenarios. Maybe, better still, we should look at what evidence (circumstantial or better) there is that does [I]not[/I] support/would disprove any of these foundational scenarios. Anyone disagree? [/QUOTE]

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